2014 US Masters Betting Preview: Why You Should Absolutely Back Tiger Now
It’s a well known cliché in stocks and shares that the clever people get in when everybody else is getting out, and it may well also apply to Tiger Woods at the US Masters.
Woods is currently 10/1 with the bookies for a reason; he’s injured, he’s not in form and he hasn’t won a Green Jacket since 2005.
While I agree with all that, I think 10/1 is a ludicrously generous price given that all the major bookmakers pay out for the first six places at the Masters.
That means if you back Woods each way, even if he finishes top six, he pays out 2.5 times your stake (most will pay a quarter of the odds of 10/1 for a place.)
You may well argue Woods won the last of his four Masters in 2005, so what are his chances of finishing in the top six?
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Well let’s look at my graph of all Tiger’s Masters finishes since his last win.
Only once in the eight years since 2005 has Woods finished outside the top six.
That was in 2012 when he played more soccer than golf with his driver (and nine iron). Remember Woods was coming off a win at Bay Hill that year and had entered the week with high hopes only to find himself a mental wreck on the range half way through. One American writer branded him “an embarrassment to his sport†after kicking his nine iron.
To his credit Woods apologized for his 2012 behaviour to his credit returned last year to tie fourth.
The bookies are no mugs and Tiger is listed at 10/1 for a reason. Missing his annual warm up win at Bay Hill for one, back spasms for another, and his overall formline have contributed to the drift in price.
However of all the players in the world, nobody has picked and chosen a sparse schedule like Woods over the years. Time and again he has returned after a month away to win. Nobody, except perhaps Phil Mickelson has Woods experience at Augusta, and if there’s one place you need it……
Take the defending champions since Woods last win: Mickelson, Zach Johnson, Immelman, Cabrera, Mickelson again, Schwartzel and Bubba in 2012; I may stand corrected but none of them finished in the top 10 the following year. Meanwhile Tiger has finished in the top six EVERY year bar 2012.
It’s a no brainer, Woods is well worth an each way flutter at 10/1 whatever happens.
Woods is currently 10/1 with the bookies for a reason; he’s injured, he’s not in form and he hasn’t won a Green Jacket since 2005.
While I agree with all that, I think 10/1 is a ludicrously generous price given that all the major bookmakers pay out for the first six places at the Masters.
That means if you back Woods each way, even if he finishes top six, he pays out 2.5 times your stake (most will pay a quarter of the odds of 10/1 for a place.)
You may well argue Woods won the last of his four Masters in 2005, so what are his chances of finishing in the top six?
Follow @golfcentraldoc
Well let’s look at my graph of all Tiger’s Masters finishes since his last win.
Only once in the eight years since 2005 has Woods finished outside the top six.
That was in 2012 when he played more soccer than golf with his driver (and nine iron). Remember Woods was coming off a win at Bay Hill that year and had entered the week with high hopes only to find himself a mental wreck on the range half way through. One American writer branded him “an embarrassment to his sport†after kicking his nine iron.
To his credit Woods apologized for his 2012 behaviour to his credit returned last year to tie fourth.
The bookies are no mugs and Tiger is listed at 10/1 for a reason. Missing his annual warm up win at Bay Hill for one, back spasms for another, and his overall formline have contributed to the drift in price.
However of all the players in the world, nobody has picked and chosen a sparse schedule like Woods over the years. Time and again he has returned after a month away to win. Nobody, except perhaps Phil Mickelson has Woods experience at Augusta, and if there’s one place you need it……
Take the defending champions since Woods last win: Mickelson, Zach Johnson, Immelman, Cabrera, Mickelson again, Schwartzel and Bubba in 2012; I may stand corrected but none of them finished in the top 10 the following year. Meanwhile Tiger has finished in the top six EVERY year bar 2012.
It’s a no brainer, Woods is well worth an each way flutter at 10/1 whatever happens.
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