2014 Northern Trust Open Betting Preview Tips and Predictions
Last week's tipping results
Win- Jimmy Walker 30/1
Win- George Coetzee 14/1
Course Keys
Itâs often the case that players who compete in tough windy conditions find their swings out of kilter the following week and if thatâs an argument you subscribe to, a rested Webb Simpson should be on your betting slip this week. Achieved a career best result of T6 in 2013, but comes in this week in some of the best form of his career. Five top 10âs in his last six starts include that win at The Shriners. He has also been under par in each of his last 10 events and ranks first in par five scoring on Tour; that will be vital on holes 1, 11 and 17 where you need to make your score on this tough layout. Simpson also boasts excellent GIR and putting stats too and because scrambling (which maybe isnât his forte) is that bit easier at Riviera, all signs point to a big week for Webb.
You might say there are few surprises in my tips this week. Thatâs because apart from John Merrickâs win last year, there are few surprises at Riviera. This will be Johnsonâs seventh start in the event, he was T10 in 2009, T3 in 2010 and T4 in 2012. Brings very tasty form into the week too with last weekâs T2 at Pebble making it four top six finishes in his last five events. The only negative might be that Riviera is all about management and choosing the correct shot and having a great caddie is vital around here, Iâm hoping his brother on the bag is up to the task.
I spoke last week about watching out for Hunter over the next few weeks and he didnât disappoint. Followed that T4 in Phoenix with sixth at Pebble Beach last week and heâll be super confident heading to California. Ranks second in strokes gained putting and on a course where 9 or 10 under is the predict winning score, I think he has a super chance. Best of T8 here last season.
Donât be put off Billy because you donât hear much about him in the golfing headlines. Heâs on an eight event cut streak with a worst finish of 34th in that run. Tied for sixth at the Humana was his best 2014 result to date but heâs somewhat of a Riviera specialist and for me experience counts on this track. Winner in 2012 and tied third last year, the only player in the top 10 to shoot a final round over par. Hopefully the golfing Gods will issue some payback and Haas will give us a fruitful week.
I think I have spotted a little glitch in the bookies reconnaissance for the week with Kevin Na at 66/1. Heâs a cut streak of five with a T8 at the Sony Open and a T4 at Pebble Beach. Kevin was right in the mix down the stretch here in 2011, finishing third behind Aaron Baddeley. Missed a chunk of last year between the Masters and the Frys.com Open with a back injury but back as good as ever and a great each way (or âto finish in the top 10â) punt this week.
Win- Jimmy Walker 30/1
Win- George Coetzee 14/1
Course Keys
- Difficult par 71
- Predicted winning score: 9 or 10 under
- Requires: Length, Ball striking, Course Management
- Saving Grace: Scorable par 5âs
- Greens key: Easier to scramble than other Tour stops
Webb Simpson 16/1
Itâs often the case that players who compete in tough windy conditions find their swings out of kilter the following week and if thatâs an argument you subscribe to, a rested Webb Simpson should be on your betting slip this week. Achieved a career best result of T6 in 2013, but comes in this week in some of the best form of his career. Five top 10âs in his last six starts include that win at The Shriners. He has also been under par in each of his last 10 events and ranks first in par five scoring on Tour; that will be vital on holes 1, 11 and 17 where you need to make your score on this tough layout. Simpson also boasts excellent GIR and putting stats too and because scrambling (which maybe isnât his forte) is that bit easier at Riviera, all signs point to a big week for Webb.
Dustin Johnson 14/1
You might say there are few surprises in my tips this week. Thatâs because apart from John Merrickâs win last year, there are few surprises at Riviera. This will be Johnsonâs seventh start in the event, he was T10 in 2009, T3 in 2010 and T4 in 2012. Brings very tasty form into the week too with last weekâs T2 at Pebble making it four top six finishes in his last five events. The only negative might be that Riviera is all about management and choosing the correct shot and having a great caddie is vital around here, Iâm hoping his brother on the bag is up to the task.
Hunter Mahan 22/1
I spoke last week about watching out for Hunter over the next few weeks and he didnât disappoint. Followed that T4 in Phoenix with sixth at Pebble Beach last week and heâll be super confident heading to California. Ranks second in strokes gained putting and on a course where 9 or 10 under is the predict winning score, I think he has a super chance. Best of T8 here last season.
Bill Haas 28/1
Donât be put off Billy because you donât hear much about him in the golfing headlines. Heâs on an eight event cut streak with a worst finish of 34th in that run. Tied for sixth at the Humana was his best 2014 result to date but heâs somewhat of a Riviera specialist and for me experience counts on this track. Winner in 2012 and tied third last year, the only player in the top 10 to shoot a final round over par. Hopefully the golfing Gods will issue some payback and Haas will give us a fruitful week.
Long Odds Glory Kevin Na 66/1
I think I have spotted a little glitch in the bookies reconnaissance for the week with Kevin Na at 66/1. Heâs a cut streak of five with a T8 at the Sony Open and a T4 at Pebble Beach. Kevin was right in the mix down the stretch here in 2011, finishing third behind Aaron Baddeley. Missed a chunk of last year between the Masters and the Frys.com Open with a back injury but back as good as ever and a great each way (or âto finish in the top 10â) punt this week.
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