2013 US Open Golf Betting Tips, Predictions and Power Rankings. Merion Preview

Here are my tips for the 2013 US Open at Merion Golf Club. We’ve had an excellent season so far, culminating in a big Kuchar, Ilonen double on both sides of the Atlantic last week.  Let’s hope these 5 can do us proud next week.

Graeme McDowell 30/1

I’m a big GMac fan but its stone cold stats that are directing me towards him for the US Open. Since winning in Pebble in 2010, Graeme tied 14th at Congressional in 2011 and tied second at Olympic Club last season. The shorter Merion layout should be right up GMac’s alley off the tee and with wins at the RBC Heritage and at the Matchplay on the tricky Thracian Cliffs, I’m getting it hard to find any negatives.

 

Michael Thompson 175/1

Another University of Alabama man, Michael Thompson seems another good fit for Merion. Thompson is a very good mid distance putter, something essential for this test, ranking in the top 10 all around from 10 to 25 feet from the hole. Since tying second last year, Thompson has won on Tour at the Honda Classic in early March, top 10’d at the WGC Cadillac and scored a very impressive tied eighth on the ultra-tough Muirfield Village layout last time out. My tip of the week and I’ve no doubt the bookies will trim the odds after this, so get to it before them!

 

Angel Cabrera 75/1

Is this Glory’s Last Shot for 2007 Oakmont Champion Angel Cabrera? Since his playoff loss to Adam Scott at The Masters, Cabrera has played four PGA Tour events, making the cut in all and won on the PGA Latino America Tour at home in Argentina. It’s Pato’s 14 US Open and he’s only missed two cuts. We’ll know after five minutes if he fancies it!

 

Kevin Chappell 75/1

I’m delighted Kevin Chappell finished second behind Kuch at The Memorial because now people won’t think I’m a nutter for tipping him! It’s hard to see a player without a Tour victory winning a Major but Chappell has the perfect game for the biggest stage. The California man has played in two US Opens, he scored a solo third at Congressional in 2011 and tied 10th at Olympic Club in 2012. From 50 to 125 yards out, nobody on Tour hits it closer. Add being a great scrambler and even better bunker player into the mix and you have yourself a live contender from Fresno.

 

Matt Kuchar 22/1

Of the favourites, of course the hardened punters are going to take Tiger Woods at lengthening odds of 9/2, but at odds of 22/1 with bookies paying out top 5 and ties, Matt Kuchar looks a prudent bet. Won at the Memorial in fine style, never troubled, always in control of his game and his head. Four other top 10’s, a win in the desert matchplay, no missed cuts and a swing that’s in the slot make Kuch certainly deserving of your fiver each way.

Merion Preview Video

Here’s a nice preview of the course at Merion, so you can do some of your own figuring:

Power Rankings

Taking into account the top 5 bookmakers here are their combined Power Rankings

  1. Tiger Woods
  2. Rory McIlroy
  3. Adam Scott
  4. Matt Kuchar
  5. Brandt Snedker
  6. Justin Rose
  7. Luke Donald
  8. Lee Westwood
  9. Graeme McDowell
  10. Phil Mickelson

Useful Info

and here’s a link  to the golfpredictor site, for all the statistics and results you’ll ever need.

Here’s the top 15 from 2012 at The Olympic Club

1 Webb Simpson 72 73 68 68 -2 +1 281 $1,440,000

T2 Michael Thompson 66 75 74 67 -3 +2 282 $695,916

T2 Graeme McDowell 69 72 68 73 +3 +2 282 $695,916

T4 David Toms 69 70 76 68 -2 +3 283 $276,841

T4 Padraig Harrington 74 70 71 68 -2 +3 283 $276,841

T4 John Peterson 71 70 72 70 E +3 283 $276,841

T4 Jason Dufner 72 71 70 70 E +3 283 $276,841

T4 Jim Furyk 70 69 70 74 +4 +3 283 $276,841

9 Ernie Els 75 69 68 72 +2 +4 284 $200,280

T10 Casey Wittenberg 71 77 67 70 E +5 285 $163,594

T10 Retief Goosen 75 70 69 71 +1 +5 285 $163,594

T10 Kevin Chappell 74 71 68 72 +2 +5 285 $163,594

T10 John Senden 72 73 68 72 +2 +5 285 $163,594

T10 Lee Westwood 73 72 67 73 +3 +5 285 $163,594

T15 K.J. Choi 73 70 74 69 -1 +6 286 $118,969

T15 Steve Stricker 76 68 73 69 -1 +6 286 $118,969

T15 Adam Scott 76 70 70 70 E +6 286 $118,969

T15 Aaron Watkins 72 71 72 71 +1 +6 286 $118,969

T15 Martin Kaymer 74 71 69 72 +2 +6 286 $118,969

T15 Fredrik Jacobson 72 71 68 75 +5 +6 286 $118,969

Best of luck!

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