2013 US Open Betting Tips: Stats Analysis

boo poligripBefore you read this, make sure you have a look at 2013 US Open betting preview and tips post.

I’ve been having a quick look at the PGA Tour stats today to determine who jumps out at me from four categories I think might be important at Merion.

Driving Accuracy

driving accuracyWe all know that straight driving is a must for the US Open.  It may be a little skewed this year with the fact that the course is playing short.  Luke Donald for instance, who’s not the longest batter, says he might use driver five times in his round.  Whatever they say, it seems clear that to play the final five holes well, you must be committed off the tee.  Henrik Stenson 70/1 just pips Tim Clark 90/1 in straight driving with perennial US Open contender Jim Furyk 40/1 right up there in fourth.

 

Greens In Regulation

greens in regStenson is right here again when it comes to hitting greens in regulation, making the most of his accuracy off the tee. Interestingly Rory McIlroy 22/1 ranks fourth in GIR and given his problems with the driver this year, the fact that he wont be AS reliant on it at Merion, coupled with the fact that the course is as wet as at Congressional in 2011, makes him very dangerous at great odds.

 

Approaches From 175-200 Yards

approach from 175-200 yardsShhh, dont tell anyone but this is one of the key stats to add in when it comes to US Open.  If a player shows up in here and you can match them to one of the driving or GIR stats, then he’s a ringer. You will see Rory McIlroy pops up here again and Tiger makes an appearance. You might be surprised to see Bubba Watson 90/1  there but that’s why he like the others is also a Major Champion.  The key here man here however is Boo Weekley 90/1, a recent Tour winner, and highly regarded on Tour for his ball striking.  Married to his driving accuracy rank of 20th, Boo will be looking forward to this week.

 

Scrambling

scrambling

Justin Rose 28/1 may have less rounds in the bank than many of the others in the scrambling stats but coupled with his accuracy stats will mean the Englishman has low odds this week.

The odds setters will see  Matt Kuchar’s recent form of a win and second, including topping the shotlink combined stats at the Memorial coupled with his season long scrambling and putting stats and thus he’s among the favourites at 22/1

In Summary

In summary, the stats back up the credentials of Major winners Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy. Jim Furyk is the safe each way bet. Bubba Watson and Boo Weekley are the surprises in the numbers, while Justin Rose justifies his odds.  Matt Kuchar may not be the most accurate off the tee with the driver, but he may not have to use it much at Merion.

But dont forget, stats are just one factor in a much bigger equation. Good luck with your bets!

 

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