2013 Northern Trust Open Betting Preview and Tips

2013 Northern Trust Open Betting Preview and Tips

Odds on b’fair at time of writing

Aaron Baddeley 48/1

aaron-baddeley-golf_t640_thumb[2] Stone the flamin’ crows! I’m going with the Jesus freak for one more week! A good Sunday 67 at Pebble climbed him into a tie for 12th, rescuing the logic of the tip somewhat. Badds won here in 2011 and tied for 11th in defending his title last year. He was right in the mix until a bad final round. Riviera is tailor made for Baddeley, in 10 career starts here, he’s never even come close to missing a cut.

Jimmy Walker 38/1

jimmy walker Thanks for all the messages telling me how much money you won on Jimmy Walker at the AT&T last week for his tied third finish. I was very sorry to hear Mark Roe’s comments about how Jimmy played the last hole with three irons, but perhaps he wasn’t aware of his past struggles; Walker had been in a similar position in 2012 and 2011 but cracked. I personally thought his par at the last this time around was course management at it’s best and bagged him a cheque for $338,000. In the past two years Walker has gone on to tie fourth here at Riviera. If there is some adrenalin left in the tank, he should figure again.

JB Holmes 100/1

Wayne-Rooney-JB-Holmes The bookies don’t fancy JB to do well because he’s not carrying a good formline but I think he’s a different beast here. I’ll tell you why. Big hitting and the ability to cash in on the par 5’s have served him and me well in the past. In the last five years J.B., without ever really threatening, has never been outside the top 12 here. That’s a few quid over $1 million in prize money by my calculations. So now do you think he’ll have this one earmarked?

A great bet to finish in the top 10 at around the 10/1 mark if you get him early. No doubt the bookies will slash his odds after reading this.

Keegan Bradley 34/1

War with Keegan[4] It’s hard to believe this is only start number 61 on the PGA and European Tour combined for Keegan. Who can forget the epic final hole then playoff with Phil Mickelson and eventual winner Billy Haas last year? After missing the cut at The Farmers and a 24th in Phoenix, Bradley took a week off last week, no doubt to spend it with his coach and Riviera head pro Jim McClean. He’ll come into this week fresh and prepared and will know the course conditions and set up better than any.

Sergio Garcia 23/1

sergio Seven under par won here last year which shows just how difficult it can be to score around this magnificent venue. Garcia tied for fourth in 2012 on his return to the event after a three year absence. In all this will be his eighth start in the event, finishing inside the top 25 on five occasions. An MC at Pebble and indications on the course that he’s not entirely happy with his form will put many off, but a recent best of second in Qatar and on this shot making track, I still think he can do well.

Best Of The Rest

freddie jacobson funny pic[5] Freddie Jacobson 110/1: Tied for seventh at Pebble Beach last week with a final round of 67. I always like Freddie on tougher courses like Riviera. Tied for 13th in 2012.

KJ Choi 48/1also usually emerges from hibernation around this time of year. He’s a Friday nighter. If he’s in the mix on Friday night, get on board. If KJ starts strong, he finishes strong.

pat-perez-wayne-gretzky-dustin-johnson Apology: Sorry for tipping Dustin Johnson last week.  Of course he wasn’t going to be able to play worth a damn with his prospective father in law staring at him throughout.  Now that Mr Gretsky has skated back to the hall of fame, DJ can get on with his golf.  He has a really great game for Riviera and two top four finishes in the last three years.  If you think the MC last week was down to Paulina, get on board the Johnson train this week at 23/1.

Also check out the Newstalk Golf Weekly podcast to hear me go through the tips each week with Ger Gilroy, Dave McIntyre and the lads on the show.  It’s available through www.newstalk.ie on Wednesday evenings.  Here’s a clip of me on the show tipping Richard Sterne and Jimmy Walker last week.

 

 

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