The Winning Score At The 2014 British Open Championship Will Be...

Having had an in depth discussion from the course this morning we are of the general consensus that between 16 and 20 under par will win this year's Open Championship.

Several factors have influenced the decision.

1. Weather

Currently forecast to have light winds on Thursday and Friday.  With pin locations set in scorable positions the thinking is that, even though the field may well be split, a sizeable number of players will get into well into red numbers by close of play Friday.  If more showery conditions arrive as forecast at the weekend, this will serve to slow down the greens a fraction and make them more holdable in tougher pin positions.

Related post: 2014 Open Championship Betting Preview and Tips

2. The Rough

To say that the rough at Hoylake is thick and lush isn't really giving the whole picture.  While in places the rough is so thick it's literally a hack back out, the R&A have been careful to make the rough very playable in the right areas.  Simply put, the rough will punish seriously off line shots, yet give players who have made good swings but found the rough, a fighting chance. It's patchy in a done-on-purpose way.

3. No Crazy Kicks

Unlike many links courses, there will simply be no crazy kicks at Hoylake. A drive down the centre cut of the fairway will stay down the middle. Simple.
Neither will one section of the field be at a length disadvantage.  Fairway metals and driving irons will be mixed with the odd driver from the tees, and this is anything but a bombers paradise.  A consistent straight driver will have a fantastic week.

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4. The Greens Complexes


While the green complexes are by no means a walk in the park with plenty of bunkering, swails and grass bunkers, they don't have the punishing cavernous run-offs that some courses have to compound errors. It is possible to get up and down and that will be a great equalizer for the field.
Also the purity of the greens is a massive factor.  Expect to see bombs being held from distance on the flat putting surfaces and more importantly watch how putts of 10 foot and in, started on line, will stay straight and true.  Royal Liverpool pride themselves on their impeccable greens.

Related Post: 5 Long Odds Open Championship Betting Tips that could make you money.

5. History

Scoring in 2006 at Hoylake went -6 after round one, -12 after round two, -13 after round three and -18 after round four when Tiger Woods won.  The cut came at -1.
Jiyai Shin won the Women's British Open in 2012 by 9 shots at 9 under.  Nine players had been par or better after round three.



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